DT
Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- APPS delivered a strong quarter: revenue $140.4M (+18% YoY), Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA $27.2M (+78% YoY), and Non-GAAP adjusted EPS $0.15; GAAP EPS was ($0.20) due to financing-related items tied to the September debt refinance .
- Results materially beat Wall Street consensus: revenue beat by ~10.5% and EPS beat by $0.10; estimate breadth was limited (Revenue: 1 estimate; EPS: 2)*.
- Guidance raised again for FY26 to revenue $540–$550M and Adjusted EBITDA $100–$105M, up from prior ranges, reflecting improved visibility and momentum .
- Catalysts: accelerating ODS international strength (80% YoY growth), brand direct shift (47% of brand revenue), SingleTap adoption (+45% seq), and AI/ML (DTIQ) leveraging first‑party data .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Segment growth broad‑based: ODS $96.5M (+17% YoY) and AGP $44.7M (+20% YoY) returned to growth, supported by higher advertiser demand and increased supply .
- International momentum: ODS international revenue grew >80% YoY; first time international exceeded 25% of ODS revenue. CEO: “Our September quarter showcased accelerating business momentum… [we] delivered top- and bottom-line results that exceeded expectations.”
- Product adoption and AI: SingleTap installs +45% sequentially; direct brand relationships rose to 47% of brand revenue; DTIQ AI/ML platform scaling to improve ROAS .
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What Went Wrong
- GAAP profitability remained negative: GAAP net loss ($21.4M), EPS ($0.20), impacted by interest expense, amortization of debt costs, unrealized derivative loss, and loss on extinguishment of debt tied to the refinancing .
- Financing burden: total interest and other expense rose to ($26.5M) in the quarter vs ($10.0M) prior year, reflecting higher interest and refinancing charges .
- Estimate depth thin: consensus breadth was limited (Revenue: 1 estimate; EPS: 2), increasing potential volatility around beats/misses; investors should treat revisions cautiously*.
Financial Results
Segment revenue breakdown (before intercompany eliminations):
Selected KPIs and operating drivers:
Versus Wall Street consensus (Q2 2026):
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Bill Stone: “Our September quarter showcased accelerating business momentum… deliver[ing] top- and bottom-line results that exceeded expectations.”
- CEO on AI/ML: “We brand these unique advantages as the DT Ignite Graph… our AI machine learning platform as DTIQ… major growth driver… SingleTap technology grew 45% sequentially.”
- CFO Steve Lasher: “Adjusted EBITDA… $27.2M, up 78% YoY. EBITDA margin of 19.4% expanded for the sixth consecutive quarter… Free cash flow… $7M… Non-GAAP gross margin… 47%.”
- CEO on international: “International ODS revenue reached a record high… surged more than 80% year-over-year… first time… international revenues exceeded 25% of our total ODS revenues.”
Q&A Highlights
- Brand business and ROI: Direct brand relationships now ~half of brand revenue; momentum into holiday season; +40% sequential brand business cited .
- SingleTap adoption: ~50% sequential increase in SingleTap installs; strong publisher interest .
- International growth depth: Solid double‑digit RPD growth and devices drove ~80% YoY international ODS revenue; >25% of ODS revenue now international .
- AI/ML execution: DTIQ to drive better outcomes and operating leverage; >1,000 signals across 500M Ignite devices and 2–3B SDK devices informing models .
- Regulatory tailwinds: Supreme Court ruling adverse to Google Play seen as democratizing app distribution; DT enabling alternative stores and direct billing .
- Competitive dynamics: Less competition on device side after a major player exited; AGP competitive landscape nuanced .
Estimates Context
- APPS beat consensus on both revenue and EPS in Q2 FY26; breadth of estimates was limited (Revenue: 1; EPS: 2), so post‑print revisions may be more impactful than usual.
- Table above summarizes the beat; consider potential upward revisions to FY26 EBITDA given raised guidance and expanding margin trajectory*.
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong beat and raised FY26 guidance signal sustained momentum; expect near‑term positive estimate revisions and potential multiple support on improving EBITDA margin trajectory .
- International ODS is becoming a core growth engine (80% YoY), diversifying revenue beyond U.S. carriers; watch continued partner additions and device volumes .
- AGP’s return to growth (+20% YoY) plus brand direct shift (47%) indicates improving demand quality; non‑gaming supply diversification reduces legacy gaming dependency .
- AI/ML (DTIQ) and first‑party data (DT Ignite Graph) are differentiators for ROAS and monetization; SingleTap adoption (+45% seq) enhances publisher distribution .
- Balance sheet de‑risked via $430M term loan refinancing; watch interest expense trajectory and derivative/warrant impacts on GAAP earnings .
- Near‑term trading: narrative tailwinds (beat/raise, AI, alt‑apps regulatory momentum) are supportive; monitor sector ad pricing/fill rates and holiday spend .
- Medium‑term thesis: leverage first‑party data + AI across ODS/AGP; expand international footprint and alt‑apps distribution; execute on margin expansion with disciplined OpEx .